Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 883.584064 1002.108435 1135.079088 1296.163680 1487.161610 1707.807984 1984.036079
2025-04-20 718.658103 877.013888 1072.252916 1334.308056 1682.495494 2137.517044 2791.320396
2025-04-27 624.545202 797.027949 1022.519878 1345.803623 1809.237764 2469.051888 3517.356850
2025-05-04 564.046050 746.220509 996.036905 1374.470848 1953.512488 2842.930501 4393.032447
2025-05-11 516.146801 703.561951 971.064230 1395.839118 2083.982031 3215.746294 5366.086051
2025-05-18 486.589805 681.835250 971.113807 1451.488294 2274.037921 3722.134892 6729.624966
2025-05-25 452.146167 648.115386 947.593446 1464.018986 2391.430080 4124.994562 8029.319624
2025-06-01 417.805881 610.466960 912.732483 1451.175112 2459.320052 4447.668605 9273.586631
2025-06-08 388.444010 577.459515 881.172360 1438.600347 2523.755445 4776.207655 10659.023078
2025-06-15 370.325173 560.545104 873.955492 1467.744666 2673.333437 5320.678271 12835.116816
2025-06-22 341.843712 524.009328 829.493845 1421.492198 2660.456052 5495.943046 14066.997105
2025-06-29 318.012629 493.321804 792.267102 1384.242040 2660.019116 5700.721146 15492.551073
2025-07-06 293.515423 460.624195 750.276744 1336.176232 2636.250637 5864.636929 16965.336620
2025-07-13 283.734398 452.742535 752.673628 1378.471730 2828.294977 6658.181999 21241.909784
2025-07-20 270.918467 438.301052 741.247679 1390.097540 2949.924473 7299.618361 25472.367038
2025-07-27 261.465188 429.057079 738.615599 1420.009931 3123.528389 8160.677691 31518.444068
2025-08-03 251.913286 418.813094 732.940628 1442.270008 3282.648567 9041.976181 38704.773523
2025-08-10 246.812380 416.387501 742.389062 1500.275901 3552.921125 10422.876098 50720.228715
2025-08-17 237.564339 405.356971 733.297628 1513.340331 3699.602571 11429.020690 62094.242637
2025-08-24 226.585930 390.206521 714.329326 1499.949294 3765.549651 12156.862369 72828.059705
2025-08-31 216.492363 376.106125 696.379096 1486.840064 3830.396078 12918.499257 85577.208117
2025-09-07 210.797195 370.291220 695.582617 1517.224988 4042.108493 14445.653884 110007.189212
2025-09-14 199.174434 351.884246 665.983930 1469.006775 3983.789440 14688.793267 120956.268674